Free Picks

MLB  |  Jul 25, 2014
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
in 17h

Free Pick on Chicago White Sox +

The White Sox are once again showing great value against the Twins. Chicago cashed in on Thursday as a big road underdog and I look for them to carry over that momentum on Friday. I believe the White Sox have a huge edge on the mound with John Danks going up against the Twins' Kevin Correia.

Danks comes in with a not so impressive 4.35 ERA and 1.419 WHIP over 20 starts, but those poor numbers can be pinpointed to 4 really bad starts where he allowed 7 earned runs or more, including his most recent start at Houston. When you look past those horrible outings, you find a pitcher that has allowed 3 or fewer earned runs in 11 of his last 14 starts. On top of that, Danks is 8-4 with a much more respectable 3.68 ERA over 14 starts in night games. Corriea on the other hand is 2-7 with a 6.33 ERA and 1.556 WHIP at home and 2-6 with a 5.74 ERA and 1.488 WHIP in night games.

If you go back over previous seasons, Correia is just 6-22 in his last 28 starts at night and 3-13 in his last 16 starts at home. Plus, Minnesota is just 6-26 in their last 31 home games against AL teams with a batting average of .255 or worse. These three trends combine to form a massive 80% (61-15) system in favor of the White Sox. Take Chicago!

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