Free Picks

NCAA-F  |  Nov 01, 2014
Kentucky vs. Missouri
Kentucky
+8½-110
  at  PINNACLE
in 11h

FREE CFB play Saturday

NCAA-F  |  Nov 01, 2014
Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State
Kansas State
-14½-110
  at  BOVADA
in 15h

Free Play

Oklahoma State is finally playing like we thought they would at the beginning of the season.  The Cowboys have lost back-to-back games by a combined score of 76-19.  They’ve shown nothing that indicates they can turn things around, especially against a good team like Kansas State.  The Cowboys have been atrocious on the road this season.  Their offense is only averaging 22.3 points per game on 4.4 yards per play while their defense is allowing 33 points per game on 6.6 yards per play.              

Kansas State is 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS this season.  The Wildcats are 4-1 at home this season with their lone loss coming by just 6 points (20-14) to Auburn, a game they could have easily won.  Kansas State’s four home wins have come by 39, 30, 32, and 23 points.  Head coach Bill Snyder has never been shy about running up the score, and he’ll do it here since Kansas State is playing with revenge from a 33-29 loss at Oklahoma State last season.  The Wildcats are averaging 39 points per game at home this season, so they will score at will against a terrible Oklahoma State defense that has allowed 99 points in their three games away from home this season.  These two teams are simply heading in opposite directions, so we’ll lay the points with Kansas State in this game on Saturday night.

NCAA-F  |  Nov 01, 2014
Notre Dame vs. Navy
Notre Dame
-14½-106
  at  PINNACLE
in 15h

Free Pick on Notre Dame -14.5

The fact that Navy was able to play Notre Dame close last year might have some looking to take the two touchdowns and the hook, but I believe there’s a big difference between the Fighting Irish team that took the field last season and the one that has started out 2014 6-1. The biggest difference being Everett Golson. Keep in mind that in 2012, when Notre Dame went 12-0, they absolutely dominated the Midshipmen in a 50-10 win. I don’t know that it will be quite that big of a blowout this time around, but I like Notre Dame’s chances of winning here by more than two touchdowns.

Navy just hasn’t been all that impressive in my eyes. I really thought the Midshipmen had a chance at a double-digit win season with 15 starters coming back, including star quarterback Keenan Reynolds, but they haven’t been able to put it together. Back-to-back wins over the likes of VMI and San Jose State aren’t going to change my opinion on this team being able to compete with a far superior opponent. We have already seen Navy lose to the likes of Rutgers, Western Kentucky and Air Force.

Prior to their brutal 3-game stretch that had them go up against Stanford, North Carolina and Florida State, each of Notre Dame’s first 4 wins came by at least 16-points. I know they had a close call against the Tar Heels, who haven’t been all that impressive, but that was a huge trap game.

One of things that I really like about the Fighting Irish in this matchup is they come in off that heartbreaking loss to Florida State, which they feel they should have won. I look for this team to come out extremely motivated to put that loss behind them and I don’t see them overlooking Navy after last year’s close call. Another big advantage for Notre Dame is that they come in off a bye, which has allowed them two full weeks to prepare for Navy’s option based offense.

The Midshipmen’s run-oriented offense plays right into the strength of the Notre Dame defense, which enters ranked 12th in the country against the run, allowing just 102.7 ypg. If the Fighting Irish can keep Navy from having success on the ground, it’s going to make it extremely difficult for the Midshipmen to keep this close. Navy is not strong defensively and are not a team that’s capable of playing from behind. The Fighting Irish should have no problem winning here by 20+ points!

Notre Dame is 23-10 ATS in their last 33 road games against strong rushing teams who average 4.75 or more yards/carry, while Navy is a mere 5-14 ATS in their last 19 versus good offensive teams that are averageing 425 or more total yards/game. Take Notre Dame!

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NCAA-F  |  Nov 01, 2014
North Carolina vs. Miami (Fla)
Miami (Fla)
-14½-109
  at  PINNACLE
in 8h

Chip's Saturday's 3-Pack of Best Bet Winners

Chip Chirimbes 3-time College Handicapping Champion was a 2-1 last Saturday night with his Best Bet Winners and is releasing his TOP-3 Best Bet winners for Saturday. 'Sweep' the board Saturday with his Vegas Hotline (8-2) between Arkansas and Mississippi State, his Saturday Night Special Bail-Out winner between Arizona and UCLA, his 'Vegas Insider' (6-3 67%) winner between Auburn and Mississippi. Get this Saturday 3-Pack of Best Bet winners NOW at the discounted price of only $99.



Chip's FREE NCAA Winner

Miami FL over NorthCarolina-This sets up perfectly for the Hurricanes as their offense will just shread the Tar Heels defense as Carolina is off upset win. Take MIAMI!



Chip's 5-Pack Full-Day Slate NCAA Best Bet Winners

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NCAA-F  |  Nov 01, 2014
Duke vs. Pittsburgh
Duke
+3½-109
  at  PINNACLE
in 7h

FREE PLAY SATURDAY

 

Tony George Sports

 

Duke at Pitt -3.5

 

The Line is dropping as sharp money is coming in on Duke.  One thing that is crucial in your handicapping is turnover ratio, especially as the season rolls along.  Duke is #1 in the ACC in turnover ratio (for the good) and Pitt is dead last.  Anyone see the Pitt game last week against Georgia Tech?  They had 6 total turnovers and 5 in the first 5 possessions in a blowout loss.

Duke is very well coached by Cutcliffe and have a solid offense capable of putting up points here and Pitt has QB issues and may use 2 QBs in this one.  While Pitt can run the ball and Duke is suspect to give up some run yards, it is Duke that has the big play capability and they will find a way to shut down Pitt’s QBs from running with the ball.  Duke is a 6-1 football team who beat Georgia Tech on the road as a 3 point pup 2 weeks ago, the same team who destroyed Pitt last week by taking advantage of miscues, and Pitts defense gave up over 400 yards rushing against them.

 

Take Duke and the points.  Live Dog here that bites!

 

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NCAA-F  |  Nov 01, 2014
Kentucky vs. Missouri
Kentucky
+8-110
  at  BMAKER
in 11h

I'm recommending a play on Kentucky plus the points over Missouri.  The Wildcats rebounded nicely last weekend against Mississippi State and came up just a little short.  QB Patrick Towles had a big game and the 'Cats out-schemed the Bulldog secondary.  Yes, eventually, the defense has to get better against the run for marked and lasting improvement within the SEC, but I don't believe Mizzou is going to give them a ton of trouble.  With the way Maty Mauk has been slumping, we suspect Kentucky will be able to "help out" against the run and force Mauk to beat them with his arm.  Mauk will hang some passes and that's not wise against a Kentucky defense that's one of the best in the nation at intercepting opponent's passes.  Last weekend, the Tigers actually ran the ball pretty well, but Mauk still completed just 11-of-23 passes. Offensively, Kentucky averages over 426 yards per game, while scoring over 31 ppg.  They'll bring confidence to the gridiron after giving top-ranked Mississippi State a run for their money one week ago.  We're 2-0 ATS in games involving Mizzou this season, including a winner with Georgia in a 34-0 blowout victory over the Tigers on this field.  We'll go against Mizzou again. I'm recommending a play on Kentucky plus the points.  Thanks & GL!  Scott Spreitzer.

If you enjoyed Scott Spreitzer's NFL Smackdown G.O.Y. winner (5-0 & 20-2 runs) a few weeks ago, you're going to love his College Football Smackdown Game of the Year! It's just his second of the CFB season, backed by a 41-16 winning spot! Grab the GOY then take the cash!

NCAA-F  |  Nov 01, 2014
Florida vs. Georgia
Florida
+11½-115
  at  BOVADA
in 11h

First note this game is being played in Jacksonville, a somewhat neutral site.

Next note that Georgia has beaten only one SEC team, Missouri, that has an above .500 record in the SEC. The Bulldogs other four league games have been against South Carolina, Tennessee, Vanderbilt and Arkansas. Those teams are a combined 2-17 in the SEC. One of those wins was South Carolina's victory against Georgia.

Next note that Georgia still will be without suspended star running back Todd Gurley. He won't be eligible to return until Nov. 15.

Florida was idle last week after losing in embarrassing fashion to Missouri at home, 42-13. That score is highly misleading, though. Missouri scored a combined four touchdowns on interception touchdown returns and special teams touchdowns.

There is nothing wrong with Florida's defense. It's good. The Gators hold foes under 26 points a game and to fewer than 318 yards per game. They've forced 16 turnovers in six games.  

The key here is Florida finally has had enough of Jeff Driskel, who has been dreadful. The Trevon Harris era is now upon us and it should give the Gators a spark because the freshman is a big-time athlete, who can throw and run.

This is a monster rivalry game and Florida coach Will Muschamp is coaching for his job. The Gators certainly won't lack motivation and with a tough defense and the right quarterback they will make this game very interesting.

(Editor's note: Long-time pro Stephen Nover has five other college football plays in addition to this selection, including three over/unders. Stephen has cashed 64 percent of his CFB plays during the last three weeks as he hones in on his third consecutive big college winning season and is 23-12 on his over/unders the past two years for 66 percent. These plays can be purchased individually, or in a discounted package.)

NCAA-F  |  Nov 01, 2014
Air Force vs. Army
Air Force
-2½-106
  at  PINNACLE
in 7h

331 Air Force at Army

A win here by the Falcons and they clinch the Commander In Chief Trophy. So obviously this is a key game for both squads. Air Force is coming in off an uncharacteristic season a year ago and have righted the ship and likely saving the coaches job. Army has a new coach and hasn't made up any ground thus far, remaining the third best military football program. A loss at lowly Kent State two weeks ago solidified that thinking. While the Black Knights are coming in off a bye we can't trust this team to win this game outright. Air Force smells the CIC Trophy and wins it with a touchdown victory.PLAY AIR FORCE
We've already posted Thursday & Friday football action along with our COLLEGE FOOTBALL GAME OF THE YEAR for Saturday. Don't miss out as we turn the corner into a November to remember.