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MLB  |  Sep 16, 2014
Cleveland Indians vs. Houston Astros
Cleveland Indians
-173
  at  5DIMES
in 12h

I'm playing on CLEVELAND.  

With Corey Kluber pitching, the Indians should handle the Astros.  They did lose to them Monday, but this is their ace in a 'must-win' spot.  Expect a different result today.

Kluber should have been an All-Star. He has a 15-9 record, 2.58 ERA and 1.10 WHIP.   Coming off two very impressive outings, his chances of dominating again are strong.  He threw a complete game against the White Sox on Sept 6th then was two outs shy of doing the same thing again Thursday vs. Minnesota.  He's allowed only 3 runs and 13 hits in the two starts.

Houston goes with the relatively unknown commodity Nick Tropeano.  He did win his first start as a big +215 underdog against Hisashi Iwakuma last week, but the odds are against history repeating itself here.  The Astros have only had six win streaks all season of at least three games.

Over 15 starts, Kluber has a 1.65 ERA with 116 strikeouts. The team is 14-5 when he's coming off a quality outing.

Houston is only 17-46 if their opponent scored two runs or less in the last game.  They are also 37-92 vs. a starter with a WHIP below 1.15. 1* free play

MLB  |  Sep 16, 2014
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
-110
  at  BETONLINE
in 12h

Even losing 1-0 to the Cubs last night, Cincinnati still has won 21 of the past 27 times at Wrigley Field. Chicago is not showing much of a pulse going 2-8 in its last 10 games with seven of those defeats coming by four or more runs. The Cubs have scored less than four runs in eight of their past 10 games.

Now they face Johnny Cueto, perhaps the top right-hander in the National League. Cueto is attempting to win his 19th game, which would tie Clayton Kershaw for the league lead. Cueto has a 2.15 ERA on the season and is in excellent form again winning his last three starts while posting a 1.17 ERA with 21 strikeouts in 23 innings. 

Cueto has a lifetime 2.97 ERA versus the Cubs in 21 starts. He's also held Anthony Rizzo, the Cubs' main source of power, to just two hits in 18 at bats.

The Reds are 20-8 in Cueto's last 28 starts, including going 14-4 in his last 18 outings. Cueto out-trumps Cubs starter Jake Arrieta, who is pitching well but does have a 6.55 ERA in two starts against the Reds this year.

(Editor's note: Stephen Nover has his MLB Underdog Game of the Week going today in addition to this selection. Stephen is up more than 11 units on his past 14 underdog plays. )